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Forecasting and Analytical Research of Cemi in Regard to Global Military-Economic Activity (1973—1982)
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Forecasting and Analytical Research of Cemi in Regard to Global Military-Economic Activity (1973—1982)
Annotation
PII
S042473880001181-8-1
DOI
10.31857/S042473880000679-5
Publication type
Article
Status
Published
Authors
Yuri Stsepinsky 
Affiliation: Central Economics and Mathematics Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences (1973—1985), Russian Institute for Strategic Studies (1992—1994), Moscow, Russia
Address: Russian Federation
Edition
Volume 54 Issue 3
Pages
104-110
Abstract

The article looks at the economic-mathematical methods and the development of algorithms and computer software for simulation of foreign military-economic activity. Such a research aimed at the analysis of general indicators and obtaining forecasted strategic estimates in the international relations. It was also focused on the detection of the crisis and conflict situations threatening the national security. The author suggests a logic-functional system for analytical-synthetic processing of big data and heterogeneous factual account data, necessary for analyzing military-economic activities of various countries. This system is grounded on such analytical tools as regression and phase analysis of military expenditures, dynamic econometric model reflecting the balance between the levels of national economic and military development.

Keywords
Forecasting, global econometric model, econometric simulation, military expenditure, military competition, information systems with Big Data, prognosis of crisis situations.
Date of publication
10.10.2018
Number of purchasers
13
Views
1976
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0.0 (0 votes)
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References

1. Dadayan V.S. (1981). Global Economic Models. Moscow: Nauka (in Russian).

2. Dadayan V.S. (1989). Orbits of the Planetary Economy. Moscow: Nauka (in Russian).

3. Ovchinskiy V.S., Larina E.S. (2014). Cyberwars XXI Century. Moscow: Knizhniy Mir (in Russian).

4. Richardson L.F. (1956). Mathematics of War in Foreign Politics. In: “The World of Mathematics” Norman J.R. (ed.). N.Y.

5. SIPRI Yearbook (1983). Available at: http://www.sipriyearbook.org/ (accessed: March 2018).

6. Stsepinskiy Y.E. (1977). Program Means and Data Organization in Information Systems. Moscow: Nauka (in Russian).

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