FORECASTING MODEL OF THE COMMODITY MARKETS DEVELOPMENT IN THE CONDITIONS OF CHANGING STATE POLICY

Borodin, K.

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FORECASTING MODEL OF THE COMMODITY MARKETS DEVELOPMENT IN THE CONDITIONS OF CHANGING STATE POLICY

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FORECASTING MODEL OF THE COMMODITY MARKETS DEVELOPMENT IN THE CONDITIONS OF CHANGING STATE POLICY

Annotation

PII

S042473880000616-6-1

Publication type

Article

Status

Published

Authors

K. Borodin Send message

ORCID: 0000-0001-6100-8848

Edition

Volume 52 Issue 1

Pages

95-111

Abstract

The forecasting model of development of the commodity market is presented, allowing, in a scenario mode to change value of the import duty and investments into production, and thus to achieve in the long term optimum states for indicators of demand, supply and the price in the domestic market. In model the effects of import duty and investments on key parameters of the commodity market are considered. Some practical possibilities of the model are shown on the example of the meat market (beef, pork and poultry meat markets). Optimization problems are solved by calculating the value of import duty and the investment required: to double domestic production of beef, for maximum ratio between the volume of domestic pork production and imports, to assess the value of investments, allowing to keep production at the same level while reducing the import duty on poultry to 20%.

Keywords

commodity market, import duty, investments, development forecast

Date of publication

01.01.2016

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780

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Cite Download pdf

GOST	Borodin K. FORECASTING MODEL OF THE COMMODITY MARKETS DEVELOPMENT IN THE CONDITIONS OF CHANGING STATE POLICY // Economics and the Mathematical Methods. – 2016. – V. 52. – Issue 1 C. 95-111 .
MLA	Borodin, K. "FORECASTING MODEL OF THE COMMODITY MARKETS DEVELOPMENT IN THE CONDITIONS OF CHANGING STATE POLICY." Economics and the Mathematical Methods. 52.1 (2016).:95-111.
APA	Borodin K. (2016). FORECASTING MODEL OF THE COMMODITY MARKETS DEVELOPMENT IN THE CONDITIONS OF CHANGING STATE POLICY. Economics and the Mathematical Methods. vol. 52, no. 1, pp.95-111


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References

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