ARTIFICIAL SOCIETY AND REAL DEMOGRAPHIC PROCESSES
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ARTIFICIAL SOCIETY AND REAL DEMOGRAPHIC PROCESSES
Annotation
PII
S042473880000506-5-1
Publication type
Article
Status
Published
Authors
Alina Ageeva 
Affiliation: Central Economics and Mathematics Institute of the Russian Academy of Sciences
Elena Sushko
Affiliation: Central Economics and Mathematics Institute of the Russian Academy of Sciences
Albert Bakhtizin
Affiliation: Central Economics and Mathematics Institute of the Russian Academy of Sciences
Valery Makarov
Affiliation: Central Economics and Mathematics Institute of the Russian Academy of Sciences
Pages
3-18
Abstract

The paper describes the use of agent-based approach to population movement modeling. It provides an overview of the most characteristic demographic agent-based model (ABM), developed in the past decade. The EU demographic model for simulating mortality, fertility and migration processes based on the behavior of individual agents in the artificial society is produced. Thus, the creation of new agents (birth of the children) in the model is a result of the individual choice of female agents of reproductive age, and this choice depends on their values and culture. The population of agents in this regard is not uniform – some agents follow the modern reproductive strategies (low fertility rates), and some – the traditional (high fertility rates). The migration of agents is based on the difference in the level of income in different countries. The results of experiments carried out using the model are analyzed and provided.

Keywords
agent-based modelling, demography, types of population reproduction, migration, forecasting the population size and structure in the region
Date of publication
01.01.2017
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0
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199
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References



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